A GENTLER Approach to Urban Traffic Modelling and Prediction

Alina Patelli, John Rego Hamilton, Victoria Lush, Aniko Ekart

Research output: Chapter in Book/Published conference outputConference publication


Intelligent Transportation aims to usher in a new and improved version of motorised traffic, one that is stream-lined, safe and at the heart of the net-zero agenda. Designing and building the urban infrastructure necessary to turn that vision into a reality relies on complex decision making, which often hinges on estimating the dynamics of future traffic through areas of the road network that are yet to be built. Traffic models capable of yielding such estimations, robustly and reliably, are valuable technological tools that urban planners can utilise to inform their decisions. To that end, we propose a novel algorithm that employs Genetic Programming and Transfer Learning to produce traffic models which accurately predict vehicle flow through a given junction based on readings collected from sur-rounding areas. We enhance the algorithm with a randomisation mechanism and run a comprehensive experimental study on a segment of the city of Darmstadt's road network, in order to investigate the effects of the exploration-exploitation interplay on the generated models' prediction accuracy.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2022 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, CEC 2022 - Conference Proceedings
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9781665467087
ISBN (Print)978-1-6654-6709-4
Publication statusPublished - 23 Jul 2022
Event2022 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC) - Padua, Italy
Duration: 18 Jul 202223 Jul 2022


Conference2022 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC)


  • Roads
  • Computational modeling
  • Urban areas
  • Transfer learning
  • Transportation
  • Predictive models
  • Prediction algorithms


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