Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area

Research output: Working paper

Abstract

We use the Fleissig and Whitney (2003) weak separability test to determine admissible levels of monetary aggregation for the Euro area. We find that the Euro area monetary assets in M2 and M3 are weakly separable and construct admissible Divisia monetary aggregates for these assets. We evaluate the Divisia aggregates as indicator variables, building on Nelson (2002), Reimers (2002), and Stracca (2004). Specifically, we show that real growth of the admissible Divisia aggregates enter the Euro area IS curve positively and significantly for the period from 1980 to 2005. Out of sample, we show that Divisia M2 and M3 appear to contain useful information for forecasting Euro area inflation.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationBirmingham (UK)
PublisherAston University
Number of pages26
VolumeRP0628
ISBN (Print)1-85449-624-7
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2006

Publication series

NameAston Business School research paper
PublisherAston University
No.RP0628

Fingerprint

Divisia
Monetary aggregates
Euro area
Assets
Monetary aggregation
Inflation
Weak separability

Keywords

  • weak separability tests
  • IS curve
  • forecasting
  • Euro area
  • divisia aggregates

Cite this

Binner, J., & Bissoondeeal, R. K. (2006). Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area. (Aston Business School research paper; No. RP0628). Birmingham (UK): Aston University.
Binner, Jane ; Bissoondeeal, Rakesh K. / Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area. Birmingham (UK) : Aston University, 2006. (Aston Business School research paper; RP0628).
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Binner, J & Bissoondeeal, RK 2006 'Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area' Aston Business School research paper, no. RP0628, Aston University, Birmingham (UK).

Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area. / Binner, Jane; Bissoondeeal, Rakesh K.

Birmingham (UK) : Aston University, 2006. (Aston Business School research paper; No. RP0628).

Research output: Working paper

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N2 - We use the Fleissig and Whitney (2003) weak separability test to determine admissible levels of monetary aggregation for the Euro area. We find that the Euro area monetary assets in M2 and M3 are weakly separable and construct admissible Divisia monetary aggregates for these assets. We evaluate the Divisia aggregates as indicator variables, building on Nelson (2002), Reimers (2002), and Stracca (2004). Specifically, we show that real growth of the admissible Divisia aggregates enter the Euro area IS curve positively and significantly for the period from 1980 to 2005. Out of sample, we show that Divisia M2 and M3 appear to contain useful information for forecasting Euro area inflation.

AB - We use the Fleissig and Whitney (2003) weak separability test to determine admissible levels of monetary aggregation for the Euro area. We find that the Euro area monetary assets in M2 and M3 are weakly separable and construct admissible Divisia monetary aggregates for these assets. We evaluate the Divisia aggregates as indicator variables, building on Nelson (2002), Reimers (2002), and Stracca (2004). Specifically, we show that real growth of the admissible Divisia aggregates enter the Euro area IS curve positively and significantly for the period from 1980 to 2005. Out of sample, we show that Divisia M2 and M3 appear to contain useful information for forecasting Euro area inflation.

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KW - forecasting

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KW - divisia aggregates

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VL - RP0628

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Binner J, Bissoondeeal RK. Admissible monetary aggregates for the Euro area. Birmingham (UK): Aston University. 2006 Oct. (Aston Business School research paper; RP0628).