Abstract
Following ‘Brexit’, the UK leaving the EU, we analyse the effects of changes in the legal framework on EU residents and compare them with UK citizens, employing a difference-in-differences framework. The research focuses on several dependent variables, including labour supply and wages, self-employment rates, and changes in industry, using the Annual Population Survey (APS) data 2012−2022 in the UK (itself based on the Labour Force Survey (LFS)), National Insurance Number registrations, and visas issued. The evidence from our analysis on EU post-Brexit migration towards the UK, together with the observed overall increase in rates of (non-EU) net migration, shows rebalancing between EU and non-EU groups. Effects are strongest at the lower-skilled end of the labour market. However, wages for UK natives and EU migrants did not change with respect to each other, controlling for occupation, industry, and other factors.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Number of pages | 22 |
| Journal | European Journal of Industrial Relations |
| Early online date | 2 Aug 2024 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 2 Aug 2024 |
Bibliographical note
Copyright © Authors 2024. This accepted manuscript version is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/].Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Keywords
- migrants
- post-Brexit labour market
- labour market outcomes
- low-skilled jobs
- substitution effect