Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

Viktoria Cologna; Simona Meiler; Chahan M. Kropf; Samuel Lüthi; Niels G. Mede; David N. Bresch; Oscar Lecuona; Sebastian Berger; John Besley; Cameron Brick; Marina Joubert; Edward W. Maibach; Sabina Mihelj; Naomi Oreskes; Mike S. Schäfer; Sander van der Linden; Nor Izzatina Abdul Aziz; Suleiman Abdulsalam; Nurulaini Abu Shamsi; Balazs Aczel; Indro Adinugroho; Eleonora Alabrese; Alaa Aldoh; Mark Alfano; Innocent Mbulli Ali; Mohammed Alsobay; R. Michael Alvarez; Tabitha Amollo; Patrick Ansah; Denisa Apriliawati; Flavio Azevedo; Ani Bajrami; Ronita Bardhan; Keagile Bati; Eri Bertsou; Rahul Bhui; Olga Białobrzeska; Michal Bilewicz; Ayoub Bouguettaya; Katherine Breeden; Amélie Bret; Ondrej Buchel; Pablo Cabrera Alvarez; Federica Cagnoli; André Calero Valdez; Timothy Callaghan; Rizza Kaye Cases; Sami Çoksan; Gabriela Czarnek; Ramit Debnath; Sylvain Delouvée; Lucia Di Stefano; Celia Diaz-Catalàn; Kimberly C. Doell; Simone Dohle; Karen M. Douglas; Charlotte Dries; Dmitrii Dubrov; Malgorzata Dzimińska; Ullrich K. H. Ecker; Christian T. Elbaek; Mahmoud Elsherif; Benjamin Enke; Matthew Facciani; Antoinette Fage-Butler; Zaki Faisal; Xiaoli Fan; Christina Farhart; Christoph Feldhaus; Marinus Ferreira; Stefan Feuerriegel; Helen Fischer; Jana Freundt; Malte Friese; Albina Gallyamova; Patricia Garrido-Vásquez; Mauricio E. Garrido Vásquez; Olivier Genschow; Omid Ghasemi; Theofilos Gkinopoulos; Jamie L. Gloor; Ellen Goddard; Claudia González Brambila; Hazel Gordon; Dmitry Grigoryev; Lars Guenther; Håvard Haarstad; Dana Harari; Przemysław Hensel; Alma Cristal Hernández-Mondragón; Atar Herziger; Guanxiong Huang; Markus Huff; Mairéad Hurley; Nygmet Ibadildin; Mohammad Tarikul Islam; Tao Jin; Charlotte A. Jones; Sebastian Jungkunz; Dominika Jurgiel; Sarah Kavassalis; John R. Kerr; Mariana Kitsa; Tereza Klabíková Rábová; Olivier Klein; Hoyoun Koh; Aki Koivula; Lilian Kojan; Elizaveta Komyaginskaya; Laura M. König; Lina Koppel; Kochav Koren; Alexandra Kosachenko; John Kotcher; Laura S. Kranz; Pradeep Krishnan; Silje Kristiansen; André Krouwel; Toon Kuppens; Claus Lamm; Anthony Lantian; Aleksandra Lazić; Jean-Baptiste Légal; Zoe Leviston; Neil Levy; Amanda M. Lindkvist; Grégoire Lits; Andreas Löschel; Alberto López Ortega; Carlos Lopez-Villavicencio; Nigel Mantou Lou; Chloe H. Lucas; Kristin Lunz-Trujillo; Mathew D. Marques; Sabrina J. Mayer; Ryan McKay; Taciano L. Milfont; Joanne M. Miller; Panagiotis Mitkidis; Fredy Monge-Rodríguez; Matt Motta; Zarja Muršič; Jennifer Namutebi; Eryn J. Newman; Jonas P. Nitschke; Ntui-Njock Vincent Ntui; Daniel Nwogwugwu; Thomas Ostermann; Tobias Otterbring; Myrto Pantazi; Philip Pärnamets; Paolo Parra Saiani; Mariola Paruzel-Czachura; Michal Parzuchowski; Yuri G. Pavlov; Adam R. Pearson; Charlotte R. Pennington; Katerina Petkanopoulou; Marija B. Petrović; Dinara Pisareva; Adam Ploszaj; Ekaterina Pronizius; Karolína Pštross; Katarzyna Pypno-Blajda; Diwa Malaya A. Quiñones; Pekka Räsänen; Adrian Rauchfleisch; Felix G. Rebitschek; Gabriel Rêgo; James P. Reynolds; Joseph Roche; Jan Philipp Röer; Robert M. Ross; Isabelle Ruin; Osvaldo Santos; Ricardo R. Santos; Stefan Schulreich; Emily Shuckburgh; Johan Six; Nevin Solak; Leonhard Späth; Bram Spruyt; Samantha K. Stanley; Noel Strahm; Stylianos Syropoulos; Barnabas Szaszi; Ewa Szumowska; Mikihito Tanaka; Claudia Teran-Escobar; Boryana Todorova; Abdoul Kafid Toko; Renata Tokrri; Daniel Toribio-Florez; Manos Tsakiris; Michael Tyrala; Özden Melis Uluğ; Ijeoma Chinwe Uzoma; Jochem van Noord; Iris Vilares; Madalina Vlasceanu; Andreas von Bubnoff; Izabela Warwas; Tim Weninger; Mareike Westfal; Adrian Dominik Wojcik; Ziqian Xia; Jinliang Xie; Ewa Zegler-Poleska; Amber Zenklusen

doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

Viktoria Cologna^*, Simona Meiler, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Lüthi, Niels G. Mede, David N. Bresch, Oscar Lecuona, Sebastian Berger, John Besley, Cameron Brick, Marina Joubert, Edward W. Maibach, Sabina Mihelj, Naomi Oreskes, Mike S. Schäfer, Sander van der Linden, Nor Izzatina Abdul Aziz, Suleiman Abdulsalam, Nurulaini Abu Shamsi, Balazs AczelIndro Adinugroho, Eleonora Alabrese, Alaa Aldoh, Mark Alfano, Innocent Mbulli Ali, Mohammed Alsobay, R. Michael Alvarez, Tabitha Amollo, Patrick Ansah, Denisa Apriliawati, Flavio Azevedo, Ani Bajrami, Ronita Bardhan, Keagile Bati, Eri Bertsou, Rahul Bhui, Olga Białobrzeska, Michal Bilewicz, Ayoub Bouguettaya, Katherine Breeden, Amélie Bret, Ondrej Buchel, Pablo Cabrera Alvarez, Federica Cagnoli, André Calero Valdez, Timothy Callaghan, Rizza Kaye Cases, Sami Çoksan, Gabriela Czarnek, Ramit Debnath, Sylvain Delouvée, Lucia Di Stefano, Celia Diaz-Catalàn, Kimberly C. Doell, Simone Dohle, Karen M. Douglas, Charlotte Dries, Dmitrii Dubrov, Malgorzata Dzimińska, Ullrich K. H. Ecker, Christian T. Elbaek, Mahmoud Elsherif, Benjamin Enke, Matthew Facciani, Antoinette Fage-Butler, Zaki Faisal, Xiaoli Fan, Christina Farhart, Christoph Feldhaus, Marinus Ferreira, Stefan Feuerriegel, Helen Fischer, Jana Freundt, Malte Friese, Albina Gallyamova, Patricia Garrido-Vásquez, Mauricio E. Garrido Vásquez, Olivier Genschow, Omid Ghasemi, Theofilos Gkinopoulos, Jamie L. Gloor, Ellen Goddard, Claudia González Brambila, Hazel Gordon, Dmitry Grigoryev, Lars Guenther, Håvard Haarstad, Dana Harari, Przemysław Hensel, Alma Cristal Hernández-Mondragón, Atar Herziger, Guanxiong Huang, Markus Huff, Mairéad Hurley, Nygmet Ibadildin, Mohammad Tarikul Islam, Tao Jin, Charlotte A. Jones, Sebastian Jungkunz, Dominika Jurgiel, Sarah Kavassalis, John R. Kerr, Mariana Kitsa, Tereza Klabíková Rábová, Olivier Klein, Hoyoun Koh, Aki Koivula, Lilian Kojan, Elizaveta Komyaginskaya, Laura M. König, Lina Koppel, Kochav Koren, Alexandra Kosachenko, John Kotcher, Laura S. Kranz, Pradeep Krishnan, Silje Kristiansen, André Krouwel, Toon Kuppens, Claus Lamm, Anthony Lantian, Aleksandra Lazić, Jean-Baptiste Légal, Zoe Leviston, Neil Levy, Amanda M. Lindkvist, Grégoire Lits, Andreas Löschel, Alberto López Ortega, Carlos Lopez-Villavicencio, Nigel Mantou Lou, Chloe H. Lucas, Kristin Lunz-Trujillo, Mathew D. Marques, Sabrina J. Mayer, Ryan McKay, Taciano L. Milfont, Joanne M. Miller, Panagiotis Mitkidis, Fredy Monge-Rodríguez, Matt Motta, Zarja Muršič, Jennifer Namutebi, Eryn J. Newman, Jonas P. Nitschke, Ntui-Njock Vincent Ntui, Daniel Nwogwugwu, Thomas Ostermann, Tobias Otterbring, Myrto Pantazi, Philip Pärnamets, Paolo Parra Saiani, Mariola Paruzel-Czachura, Michal Parzuchowski, Yuri G. Pavlov, Adam R. Pearson, Charlotte R. Pennington, Katerina Petkanopoulou, Marija B. Petrović, Dinara Pisareva, Adam Ploszaj, Ekaterina Pronizius, Karolína Pštross, Katarzyna Pypno-Blajda, Diwa Malaya A. Quiñones, Pekka Räsänen, Adrian Rauchfleisch, Felix G. Rebitschek, Gabriel Rêgo, James P. Reynolds, Joseph Roche, Jan Philipp Röer, Robert M. Ross, Isabelle Ruin, Osvaldo Santos, Ricardo R. Santos, Stefan Schulreich, Emily Shuckburgh, Johan Six, Nevin Solak, Leonhard Späth, Bram Spruyt, Samantha K. Stanley, Noel Strahm, Stylianos Syropoulos, Barnabas Szaszi, Ewa Szumowska, Mikihito Tanaka, Claudia Teran-Escobar, Boryana Todorova, Abdoul Kafid Toko, Renata Tokrri, Daniel Toribio-Florez, Manos Tsakiris, Michael Tyrala, Özden Melis Uluğ, Ijeoma Chinwe Uzoma, Jochem van Noord, Iris Vilares, Madalina Vlasceanu, Andreas von Bubnoff, Izabela Warwas, Tim Weninger, Mareike Westfal, Adrian Dominik Wojcik, Ziqian Xia, Jinliang Xie, Ewa Zegler-Poleska, Amber Zenklusen

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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Abstract

Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	725-735
Number of pages	11
Journal	Nature Climate Change
Volume	15
Issue number	7
Early online date	1 Jul 2025
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4
Publication status	Published - 1 Jul 2025

Bibliographical note

This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Funding

Open access funding provided by Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich.

Access to Document

10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4Licence: CC BY 4.0

Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world
This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Final published version, 14.8 MBLicence: CC BY 4.0

Cite this

Cologna, V., Meiler, S., Kropf, C. M., Lüthi, S., Mede, N. G., Bresch, D. N., Lecuona, O., Berger, S., Besley, J., Brick, C., Joubert, M., Maibach, E. W., Mihelj, S., Oreskes, N., Schäfer, M. S., Linden, S. V. D., Aziz, N. I. A., Abdulsalam, S., Shamsi, N. A., ... Zenklusen, A. (2025). Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world. Nature Climate Change, 15(7), 725-735. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

@article{4a172db56107425c989810d32c537b4f,

title = "Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world",

abstract = "Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.",

author = "Viktoria Cologna and Simona Meiler and Kropf, {Chahan M.} and Samuel L{\"u}thi and Mede, {Niels G.} and Bresch, {David N.} and Oscar Lecuona and Sebastian Berger and John Besley and Cameron Brick and Marina Joubert and Maibach, {Edward W.} and Sabina Mihelj and Naomi Oreskes and Sch{\"a}fer, {Mike S.} and Linden, {Sander van der} and Aziz, {Nor Izzatina Abdul} and Suleiman Abdulsalam and Shamsi, {Nurulaini Abu} and Balazs Aczel and Indro Adinugroho and Eleonora Alabrese and Alaa Aldoh and Mark Alfano and Ali, {Innocent Mbulli} and Mohammed Alsobay and Alvarez, {R. Michael} and Tabitha Amollo and Patrick Ansah and Denisa Apriliawati and Flavio Azevedo and Ani Bajrami and Ronita Bardhan and Keagile Bati and Eri Bertsou and Rahul Bhui and Olga Bia{\l}obrzeska and Michal Bilewicz and Ayoub Bouguettaya and Katherine Breeden and Am{\'e}lie Bret and Ondrej Buchel and Alvarez, {Pablo Cabrera} and Federica Cagnoli and Valdez, {Andr{\'e} Calero} and Timothy Callaghan and Cases, {Rizza Kaye} and Sami {\c C}oksan and Gabriela Czarnek and Ramit Debnath and Sylvain Delouv{\'e}e and {Di Stefano}, Lucia and Celia Diaz-Catal{\`a}n and Doell, {Kimberly C.} and Simone Dohle and Douglas, {Karen M.} and Charlotte Dries and Dmitrii Dubrov and Malgorzata Dzimi{\'n}ska and Ecker, {Ullrich K. H.} and Elbaek, {Christian T.} and Mahmoud Elsherif and Benjamin Enke and Matthew Facciani and Antoinette Fage-Butler and Zaki Faisal and Xiaoli Fan and Christina Farhart and Christoph Feldhaus and Marinus Ferreira and Stefan Feuerriegel and Helen Fischer and Jana Freundt and Malte Friese and Albina Gallyamova and Patricia Garrido-V{\'a}squez and {Garrido V{\'a}squez}, {Mauricio E.} and Olivier Genschow and Omid Ghasemi and Theofilos Gkinopoulos and Gloor, {Jamie L.} and Ellen Goddard and Brambila, {Claudia Gonz{\'a}lez} and Hazel Gordon and Dmitry Grigoryev and Lars Guenther and H{\aa}vard Haarstad and Dana Harari and Przemys{\l}aw Hensel and Hern{\'a}ndez-Mondrag{\'o}n, {Alma Cristal} and Atar Herziger and Guanxiong Huang and Markus Huff and Mair{\'e}ad Hurley and Nygmet Ibadildin and Islam, {Mohammad Tarikul} and Tao Jin and Jones, {Charlotte A.} and Sebastian Jungkunz and Dominika Jurgiel and Sarah Kavassalis and Kerr, {John R.} and Mariana Kitsa and R{\'a}bov{\'a}, {Tereza Klab{\'i}kov{\'a}} and Olivier Klein and Hoyoun Koh and Aki Koivula and Lilian Kojan and Elizaveta Komyaginskaya and K{\"o}nig, {Laura M.} and Lina Koppel and Kochav Koren and Alexandra Kosachenko and John Kotcher and Kranz, {Laura S.} and Pradeep Krishnan and Silje Kristiansen and Andr{\'e} Krouwel and Toon Kuppens and Claus Lamm and Anthony Lantian and Aleksandra Lazi{\'c} and Jean-Baptiste L{\'e}gal and Zoe Leviston and Neil Levy and Lindkvist, {Amanda M.} and Gr{\'e}goire Lits and Andreas L{\"o}schel and Ortega, {Alberto L{\'o}pez} and Carlos Lopez-Villavicencio and Lou, {Nigel Mantou} and Lucas, {Chloe H.} and Kristin Lunz-Trujillo and Marques, {Mathew D.} and Mayer, {Sabrina J.} and Ryan McKay and Milfont, {Taciano L.} and Miller, {Joanne M.} and Panagiotis Mitkidis and Fredy Monge-Rodr{\'i}guez and Matt Motta and Zarja Mur{\v s}i{\v c} and Jennifer Namutebi and Newman, {Eryn J.} and Nitschke, {Jonas P.} and Ntui, {Ntui-Njock Vincent} and Daniel Nwogwugwu and Thomas Ostermann and Tobias Otterbring and Myrto Pantazi and Philip P{\"a}rnamets and Saiani, {Paolo Parra} and Mariola Paruzel-Czachura and Michal Parzuchowski and Pavlov, {Yuri G.} and Pearson, {Adam R.} and Pennington, {Charlotte R.} and Katerina Petkanopoulou and Petrovi{\'c}, {Marija B.} and Dinara Pisareva and Adam Ploszaj and Ekaterina Pronizius and Karol{\'i}na P{\v s}tross and Katarzyna Pypno-Blajda and Qui{\~n}ones, {Diwa Malaya A.} and Pekka R{\"a}s{\"a}nen and Adrian Rauchfleisch and Rebitschek, {Felix G.} and Gabriel R{\^e}go and Reynolds, {James P.} and Joseph Roche and R{\"o}er, {Jan Philipp} and Ross, {Robert M.} and Isabelle Ruin and Osvaldo Santos and Santos, {Ricardo R.} and Stefan Schulreich and Emily Shuckburgh and Johan Six and Nevin Solak and Leonhard Sp{\"a}th and Bram Spruyt and Stanley, {Samantha K.} and Noel Strahm and Stylianos Syropoulos and Barnabas Szaszi and Ewa Szumowska and Mikihito Tanaka and Claudia Teran-Escobar and Boryana Todorova and Toko, {Abdoul Kafid} and Renata Tokrri and Daniel Toribio-Florez and Manos Tsakiris and Michael Tyrala and Uluğ, {{\"O}zden Melis} and Uzoma, {Ijeoma Chinwe} and Noord, {Jochem van} and Iris Vilares and Madalina Vlasceanu and Bubnoff, {Andreas von} and Izabela Warwas and Tim Weninger and Mareike Westfal and Wojcik, {Adrian Dominik} and Ziqian Xia and Jinliang Xie and Ewa Zegler-Poleska and Amber Zenklusen",

note = "This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article{\textquoteright}s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article{\textquoteright}s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.",

year = "2025",

month = jul,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4",

language = "English",

volume = "15",

pages = "725--735",

journal = "Nature Climate Change",

issn = "1758-678X",

publisher = "Nature Research",

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Cologna, V, Meiler, S, Kropf, CM, Lüthi, S, Mede, NG, Bresch, DN, Lecuona, O, Berger, S, Besley, J, Brick, C, Joubert, M, Maibach, EW, Mihelj, S, Oreskes, N, Schäfer, MS, Linden, SVD, Aziz, NIA, Abdulsalam, S, Shamsi, NA, Aczel, B, Adinugroho, I, Alabrese, E, Aldoh, A, Alfano, M, Ali, IM, Alsobay, M, Alvarez, RM, Amollo, T, Ansah, P, Apriliawati, D, Azevedo, F, Bajrami, A, Bardhan, R, Bati, K, Bertsou, E, Bhui, R, Białobrzeska, O, Bilewicz, M, Bouguettaya, A, Breeden, K, Bret, A, Buchel, O, Alvarez, PC, Cagnoli, F, Valdez, AC, Callaghan, T, Cases, RK, Çoksan, S, Czarnek, G, Debnath, R, Delouvée, S, Di Stefano, L, Diaz-Catalàn, C, Doell, KC, Dohle, S, Douglas, KM, Dries, C, Dubrov, D, Dzimińska, M, Ecker, UKH, Elbaek, CT, Elsherif, M, Enke, B, Facciani, M, Fage-Butler, A, Faisal, Z, Fan, X, Farhart, C, Feldhaus, C, Ferreira, M, Feuerriegel, S, Fischer, H, Freundt, J, Friese, M, Gallyamova, A, Garrido-Vásquez, P, Garrido Vásquez, ME, Genschow, O, Ghasemi, O, Gkinopoulos, T, Gloor, JL, Goddard, E, Brambila, CG, Gordon, H, Grigoryev, D, Guenther, L, Haarstad, H, Harari, D, Hensel, P, Hernández-Mondragón, AC, Herziger, A, Huang, G, Huff, M, Hurley, M, Ibadildin, N, Islam, MT, Jin, T, Jones, CA, Jungkunz, S, Jurgiel, D, Kavassalis, S, Kerr, JR, Kitsa, M, Rábová, TK, Klein, O, Koh, H, Koivula, A, Kojan, L, Komyaginskaya, E, König, LM, Koppel, L, Koren, K, Kosachenko, A, Kotcher, J, Kranz, LS, Krishnan, P, Kristiansen, S, Krouwel, A, Kuppens, T, Lamm, C, Lantian, A, Lazić, A, Légal, J-B, Leviston, Z, Levy, N, Lindkvist, AM, Lits, G, Löschel, A, Ortega, AL, Lopez-Villavicencio, C, Lou, NM, Lucas, CH, Lunz-Trujillo, K, Marques, MD, Mayer, SJ, McKay, R, Milfont, TL, Miller, JM, Mitkidis, P, Monge-Rodríguez, F, Motta, M, Muršič, Z, Namutebi, J, Newman, EJ, Nitschke, JP, Ntui, N-NV, Nwogwugwu, D, Ostermann, T, Otterbring, T, Pantazi, M, Pärnamets, P, Saiani, PP, Paruzel-Czachura, M, Parzuchowski, M, Pavlov, YG, Pearson, AR, Pennington, CR, Petkanopoulou, K, Petrović, MB, Pisareva, D, Ploszaj, A, Pronizius, E, Pštross, K, Pypno-Blajda, K, Quiñones, DMA, Räsänen, P, Rauchfleisch, A, Rebitschek, FG, Rêgo, G, Reynolds, JP, Roche, J, Röer, JP, Ross, RM, Ruin, I, Santos, O, Santos, RR, Schulreich, S, Shuckburgh, E, Six, J, Solak, N, Späth, L, Spruyt, B, Stanley, SK, Strahm, N, Syropoulos, S, Szaszi, B, Szumowska, E, Tanaka, M, Teran-Escobar, C, Todorova, B, Toko, AK, Tokrri, R, Toribio-Florez, D, Tsakiris, M, Tyrala, M, Uluğ, ÖM, Uzoma, IC, Noord, JV, Vilares, I, Vlasceanu, M, Bubnoff, AV, Warwas, I, Weninger, T, Westfal, M, Wojcik, AD, Xia, Z, Xie, J, Zegler-Poleska, E & Zenklusen, A 2025, 'Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world', Nature Climate Change, vol. 15, no. 7, pp. 725-735. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

TY - JOUR

T1 - Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

AU - Cologna, Viktoria

AU - Meiler, Simona

AU - Kropf, Chahan M.

AU - Lüthi, Samuel

AU - Mede, Niels G.

AU - Bresch, David N.

AU - Lecuona, Oscar

AU - Berger, Sebastian

AU - Besley, John

AU - Brick, Cameron

AU - Joubert, Marina

AU - Maibach, Edward W.

AU - Mihelj, Sabina

AU - Oreskes, Naomi

AU - Schäfer, Mike S.

AU - Linden, Sander van der

AU - Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul

AU - Abdulsalam, Suleiman

AU - Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu

AU - Aczel, Balazs

AU - Adinugroho, Indro

AU - Alabrese, Eleonora

AU - Aldoh, Alaa

AU - Alfano, Mark

AU - Ali, Innocent Mbulli

AU - Alsobay, Mohammed

AU - Alvarez, R. Michael

AU - Amollo, Tabitha

AU - Ansah, Patrick

AU - Apriliawati, Denisa

AU - Azevedo, Flavio

AU - Bajrami, Ani

AU - Bardhan, Ronita

AU - Bati, Keagile

AU - Bertsou, Eri

AU - Bhui, Rahul

AU - Białobrzeska, Olga

AU - Bilewicz, Michal

AU - Bouguettaya, Ayoub

AU - Breeden, Katherine

AU - Bret, Amélie

AU - Buchel, Ondrej

AU - Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera

AU - Cagnoli, Federica

AU - Valdez, André Calero

AU - Callaghan, Timothy

AU - Cases, Rizza Kaye

AU - Çoksan, Sami

AU - Czarnek, Gabriela

AU - Debnath, Ramit

AU - Delouvée, Sylvain

AU - Di Stefano, Lucia

AU - Diaz-Catalàn, Celia

AU - Doell, Kimberly C.

AU - Dohle, Simone

AU - Douglas, Karen M.

AU - Dries, Charlotte

AU - Dubrov, Dmitrii

AU - Dzimińska, Malgorzata

AU - Ecker, Ullrich K. H.

AU - Elbaek, Christian T.

AU - Elsherif, Mahmoud

AU - Enke, Benjamin

AU - Facciani, Matthew

AU - Fage-Butler, Antoinette

AU - Faisal, Zaki

AU - Fan, Xiaoli

AU - Farhart, Christina

AU - Feldhaus, Christoph

AU - Ferreira, Marinus

AU - Feuerriegel, Stefan

AU - Fischer, Helen

AU - Freundt, Jana

AU - Friese, Malte

AU - Gallyamova, Albina

AU - Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia

AU - Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.

AU - Genschow, Olivier

AU - Ghasemi, Omid

AU - Gkinopoulos, Theofilos

AU - Gloor, Jamie L.

AU - Goddard, Ellen

AU - Brambila, Claudia González

AU - Gordon, Hazel

AU - Grigoryev, Dmitry

AU - Guenther, Lars

AU - Haarstad, Håvard

AU - Harari, Dana

AU - Hensel, Przemysław

AU - Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal

AU - Herziger, Atar

AU - Huang, Guanxiong

AU - Huff, Markus

AU - Hurley, Mairéad

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N1 - This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

PY - 2025/7/1

Y1 - 2025/7/1

N2 - Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.

AB - Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.

UR - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02372-4

U2 - 10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

DO - 10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

M3 - Article

C2 - 40641510

SN - 1758-678X

VL - 15

SP - 725

EP - 735

JO - Nature Climate Change

JF - Nature Climate Change

IS - 7

ER -

Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

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