TY - JOUR
T1 - Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world
AU - Cologna, Viktoria
AU - Meiler, Simona
AU - Kropf, Chahan M.
AU - Lüthi, Samuel
AU - Mede, Niels G.
AU - Bresch, David N.
AU - Lecuona, Oscar
AU - Berger, Sebastian
AU - Besley, John
AU - Brick, Cameron
AU - Joubert, Marina
AU - Maibach, Edward W.
AU - Mihelj, Sabina
AU - Oreskes, Naomi
AU - Schäfer, Mike S.
AU - Linden, Sander van der
AU - Zenklusen, Amber
AU - Zegler-Poleska, Ewa
AU - Xie, Jinliang
AU - Xia, Ziqian
AU - Wojcik, Adrian Dominik
AU - Westfal, Mareike
AU - Weninger, Tim
AU - Warwas, Izabela
AU - Bubnoff, Andreas von
AU - Vlasceanu, Madalina
AU - Vilares, Iris
AU - Noord, Jochem van
AU - Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe
AU - Uluğ, Özden Melis
AU - Tyrala, Michael
AU - Tsakiris, Manos
AU - Toribio-Florez, Daniel
AU - Tokrri, Renata
AU - Toko, Abdoul Kafid
AU - Todorova, Boryana
AU - Teran-Escobar, Claudia
AU - Tanaka, Mikihito
AU - Szumowska, Ewa
AU - Szaszi, Barnabas
AU - Syropoulos, Stylianos
AU - Strahm, Noel
AU - Stanley, Samantha K.
AU - Spruyt, Bram
AU - Späth, Leonhard
AU - Solak, Nevin
AU - Six, Johan
AU - Shuckburgh, Emily
AU - Schulreich, Stefan
AU - Santos, Ricardo R.
AU - Santos, Osvaldo
AU - Ruin, Isabelle
AU - Ross, Robert M.
AU - Röer, Jan Philipp
AU - Roche, Joseph
AU - Reynolds, James P.
AU - Rêgo, Gabriel
AU - Rebitschek, Felix G.
AU - Rauchfleisch, Adrian
AU - Räsänen, Pekka
AU - Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.
AU - Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna
AU - Pštross, Karolína
AU - Pronizius, Ekaterina
AU - Ploszaj, Adam
AU - Pisareva, Dinara
AU - Petrović, Marija B.
AU - Petkanopoulou, Katerina
AU - Pennington, Charlotte R.
AU - Pearson, Adam R.
AU - Pavlov, Yuri G.
AU - Parzuchowski, Michal
AU - Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola
AU - Saiani, Paolo Parra
AU - Pärnamets, Philip
AU - Pantazi, Myrto
AU - Otterbring, Tobias
AU - Ostermann, Thomas
AU - Nwogwugwu, Daniel
AU - Ntui, Ntui Njock Vincent
AU - Nitschke, Jonas P.
AU - Newman, Eryn J.
AU - Namutebi, Jennifer
AU - Muršič, Zarja
AU - Motta, Matt
AU - Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy
AU - Mitkidis, Panagiotis
AU - Miller, Joanne M.
AU - Milfont, Taciano L.
AU - McKay, Ryan
AU - Mayer, Sabrina J.
AU - Marques, Mathew D.
AU - Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin
AU - Lucas, Chloe H.
AU - Lou, Nigel Mantou
AU - Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos
AU - Ortega, Alberto López
AU - Löschel, Andreas
AU - Lits, Grégoire
AU - Lindkvist, Amanda M.
N1 - Copyright © The Author(s) 2025. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
PY - 2025/7/1
Y1 - 2025/7/1
N2 - Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.
AB - Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.
UR - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02372-4
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105025036530
U2 - 10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4
DO - 10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4
M3 - Article
C2 - 40641510
SN - 1758-678X
VL - 15
SP - 725
EP - 735
JO - Nature Climate Change
JF - Nature Climate Change
IS - 7
ER -
SDG 13 Climate Action