Abstract
Many tests of financial contagion require a definition of the dates separating calm from crisis periods. We propose to use a battery of break search procedures for individual time series to objectively identify potential break dates in relationships between countries. Applied to the biggest European stock markets and combined with two well established tests for financial contagion, this approach results in break dates which correctly identify the timing of changes in cross-country transmission mechanisms. Application of break search procedures breathes new life into the established contagion tests, allowing for an objective, data-driven timing of crisis periods.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 485-507 |
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Journal | Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting |
| Volume | 40 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Early online date | 25 Apr 2012 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Apr 2013 |
Keywords
- breaks in time series
- financial contagion
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