Machine Learning for Predicting Tourist Spots' Preference and Analysing Future Tourism Trends in Bangladesh

Victor Chang*, Md Rafiqul Islam, Abdul Ahad, Md Jobair Ahmed, Qianwen Ariel Xu

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This study uses machine learning, including Support Vector Machines, Decision Trees, K-Nearest Neighbors, to examine Bangladesh’s tourism industry to forecast traveller preferences. We use time series analysis, including ARIMA, Moving Average, and Auto-regression models, to predict future tourism trends. Our results show that, with an accuracy of 96.3%, Linear SVM was the best at predicting preferences. For trend forecasting, the ARIMA model fared better than the others, suggesting that Bangladeshi tourism may be headed in an undesirable direction. Our observations and insights can help guide strategic choices and decisions in the creation of policies and the administration of tourism.
Original languageEnglish
Article number2415568
Number of pages32
JournalEnterprise Information Systems
Volume18
Issue number12
Early online date4 Nov 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 4 Nov 2024

Bibliographical note

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.

Keywords

  • ARIMA model
  • Machine learning
  • bangladesh tourism
  • support vector machine
  • time series analysis
  • tourism analytics

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