Macro determinants of FDI inflows to Japan: an analysis of source country characteristics

Satomi Kimino*, David S. Saal, Nigel Driffield

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This paper examines the source country determinants of FDI into Japan. The paper highlights certain methodological and theoretical weaknesses in the previous literature and offers some explanations for hitherto ambiguous results. Specifically, the paper highlights the importance of panel data analysis, and the identification of fixed effects in the analysis rather than simply pooling the data. Indeed, we argue that many of the results reported elsewhere are a feature of this mis-specification. To this end, pooled, fixed effects and random effects estimates are compared. The results suggest that FDI into Japan is inversely related to trade flows, such that trade and FDI are substitutes. Moreover, the results also suggest that FDI increases with home country political and economic stability. The paper also shows that previously reported results, regarding the importance of exchange rates, relative borrowing costs and labour costs in explaining FDI flows, are sensitive to the econometric specification and estimation approach. The paper also discusses the importance of these results within a policy context. In recent years Japan has sought to attract FDI, though many firms still complain of barriers to inward investment penetration in Japan. The results show that cultural and geographic distance are only of marginal importance in explaining FDI, and that the results are consistent with the market-seeking explanation of FDI. As such, the attitude to risk in the source country is strongly related to the size of FDI flows to Japan. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)446-469
Number of pages24
JournalWorld Economy
Issue number3
Early online date28 Feb 2007
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2007

Bibliographical note

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  • source country determinants of FDI
  • Japan
  • panel data analysis
  • fixed effects
  • pooled effects
  • random effects
  • trade flows
  • political stability
  • economic stability
  • exchange rates
  • relative borrowing costs
  • labour costs
  • econometric specification
  • estimation approach


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