In this paper, we review the historical evolution of predictions of the performance of optical communication systems. We will describe how such predictions were made from the outset of research in laser based optical communications and how they have evolved to their present form, accurately predicting the performance of coherently detected communication systems.
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Funding: EPSRC (EP/J017582/1, EP/L000091/1, EP/M005283/1); Royal Society (WM120035); and Wolfson Foundation.
- optical communications