Research output per year

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Personal profile


Michail has joined Aston Business School in 2010 and is currently a Senior Lecturer in Economics and Programme Director for the BSc Mathematics with Economics and the BSc Business and Mathematics Joint Honours degrees of the Economics, Finance and Entrepreneurship department. He is a Fellow of the Lloyds Banking Group Centre for Business Prosperity. 


An economist and computer scientist by training his research has been predominantly in the areas of applied macroeconometrics and financial econometrics where he publishes in leading and high visibility international journals although he also enjoys experimenting with more cross-disciplinary topics. His works on non-linear dynamic modelling are well-cited in the academic literature and his recent investigation on the impact of Brexit on the UK inward investment has attracted a lot of attention from the general public. 


Michail has led successfully the £187,243 Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) with the leading Big Data provider, Majestic, the outcome of which, apart from several awards, was evaluated 'Outstanding' by Innovate UK.


He is a Fellow of the Higher Education Academy and is currently the module leader for BS1159 International Business Environment and BFM117 Trading Techniques. 


Having led successfully several PhD students to completion, he welcomes potential PhD candidates who are interested in his areas of expertise but also from other areas as long as they can demonstrate willingness and capacity to learn and work with state of the art quantitative methods.

Research Interests

Econometric theory, stochastic, randomised, and deterministic unit roots, time-varying processes, financial econometrics, volatility dynamics, macroeconomic modelling and forecasting, non-parametric detection of structural changes, nonlinear time series models, density forecasting.


  • Ptychio in Computer Science, Hellenic Open University, Greece

  • Post Graduate Certificate in Professional Practice 

  • Ph.D. in Economics, University of Leicester, UK

  • MSc in Business Analysis & Finance, University of Leicester, UK

  • Ptychio in Economics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece

Teaching Activity

  • BS1164: Introduction to Macroeconomics

  • BS1159: International Business Environment

Contact Details

Phone: +44(0)121 204 3338 
Email:  m.karoglou@aston.ac.uk
Room: SW912


  • Time series econometrics
  • Quantitative risk management

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Research Output

Can Black Swans be tamed with a flexible Mean-Variance specification?

Karoglou, M. & Chatzikonstanti, V., 18 Jun 2020, (Accepted/In press) In : International Journal of Finance and Economics.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  • BrExit and foreign investment in the UK

    Driffield, N. L. & Karoglou, M., 1 Feb 2019, In : Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society). 182, 2, p. 559-582 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Open Access
  • Structural Changes and the Role of Monetary Aggregates in the UK

    Bissoondeeal, R. K., Karoglou, M. & Binner, J. M., 1 Jun 2019, In : Journal of Financial Stability. 42, p. 100-107 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  • Monetary policy preferences of the EMU and the UK

    Arestis, P., Karoglou, M. & Mouratidis, K., 3 Jun 2016, In : Manchester School. 84, 4, p. 528-550 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Open Access
  • Multivariate FIAPARCH modelling of financial markets with dynamic correlations in times of crisis

    Karanasos, M., Yfanti, S. & Karoglou, M., May 2016, In : International Review of Financial Analysis. 45, p. 332-349

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Open Access