A robustness framework for monitoring real options under uncertainty

Tarik Driouchi, Michel Leseure, David Bennett

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper presents a problem structuring methodology to assess real option decisions in the face of unpredictability. Based on principles of robustness analysis and scenario planning, we demonstrate how decision-aiding can facilitate participation in projects setting and achieve effective decision making through the use of real options reasoning. We argue that robustness heuristics developed in earlier studies can be practical proxies for real options performance, hence indicators of efficient flexible planning. The developed framework also highlights how to integrate real options solutions in firms’ strategic plans and operating actions. The use of the methodology in a location decision application is provided for illustration.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)698-710
Number of pages13
JournalOmega (Elsevier)
Volume37
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2009

Keywords

  • soft OR
  • efficiency
  • group decisions
  • planning and control
  • robustness analysis
  • real options

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