Safety Risk Estimation of Construction Project Based on Energy Transfer Model and System Dynamics: A Case Study of Collapse Accident in China

Yongcheng Zhang, Xuejiao Xing, Maxwell Fordjour Antwi-Afari, Mingqing Wu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Analyzing and understanding the occurrence and evolution mechanisms of construction accidents are important for construction safety management. This study proposed a hybrid approach of integrating the energy transfer model (ETM) and system dynamics (SD) theory to delineate the entire evolution stage of the construction accident. Specifically, the Fengcheng Power Plant construction platform collapse accident (FPCA) was taken as a practical case study. First, the ETM is applied to demonstrate the evolving nature of the accident. Then, the network of the accident-causing factors is constructed using the SD theory to analyze the dynamic change characteristics. The results indicate that the accident was caused by risk factors with complex interactions at the management level. An energy constraint failure occurred when the transfer of dangerous energy transpired at the physical entity level, inducing the event. The proposed approach can provide a useful reference for safety risk estimation and management in future major construction projects.

Original languageEnglish
Article number14386
Number of pages14
JournalInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Volume19
Issue number21
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 3 Nov 2022

Bibliographical note

Copyright © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Funding Information: The authors acknowledged two funding supports from (1) the Project of Social Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, grant number 21GLC017 and (2) the National Natural Science Foundation of China, grant number 71901104.

Keywords

  • collapse accident
  • construction project
  • energy transfer model
  • safety risk estimation
  • system dynamics

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